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Old 16-12-2016, 05:20 AM
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An honorable member of the Coffee Shop Has Just Posted the Following:

https://tw.mobi.yahoo.com/news/%E7%9...035300018.html

環時:若台獨猖獗 把台灣變成戰時北平

聯合新聞網
17 小時前
川普顧問、美國眾議院前議長金瑞契(Newt Gingrich)日前表示,美國在任何情況下都不會鼓勵台灣獨立,也不會坐視中國企圖以武力征服台灣。中 共黨媒《環球時報》今天(15日)刊出社評「重塑台海局勢,大陸須敢想敢為」指出,如果台獨繼 續猖獗,就應 當把台灣變成內戰時期的北平,「那樣的歷史可能性正在逐漸形成」。
對於北京的應對之策,社評提出七點。首先,台灣這張牌華盛頓隨時可能以粗魯的方式啟動,中美兩 國圍繞台海達 成的默契和潛規則都難以受到持續尊重,連「一個中國」原則也會遭到出其不意的襲擊。「我們離大 體控制住台灣 問題的破壞性還有很遠距離。」
第二,台灣問題久拖不決,構成中國崛起的巨大成本。現在沒有這種成本越來越小的跡象,而且從迄 今的情況來看 ,北京為維持台海和平所支付的成本要高於華盛頓和台灣。
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第三,兩岸和平統一機會渺茫,尤其是在大陸不大幅增加武力統一壓力的情況下,兩岸和平統一的可 能性只會越來 越小。台獨勢力公開認為,時間在他們一邊,原因是台灣對中國的認同感不斷縮小。試圖借助國際力 量製造戲劇性 時運翻盤,成為台獨對抗統一的策略。
第四,大陸恐怕要重新制定台海政策,將軍事鬥爭作為主要選項之一認真加以準備。這有兩個好處, 一是台獨衝撞 《反分裂國家法》,大陸隨時可以對其實施軍事懲罰。二是大陸武力收復台灣的認真準備可以對台獨 產生大得多的 威懾力,對台灣政治風向產生影響。
第五,台海的軍事現狀需要重塑,作為對民進黨當局打破兩岸政治現狀的回應和懲罰。所謂「台海中 線」有必要打 破,大陸的海空軍可以進入以往僅由台灣海空軍活動的區域。在必要時,大陸空軍可以飛越台灣。大 陸方面應當放 開思路,將象徵中國主權的一些標誌性行動逐漸覆蓋整個台海地區,將「一個中國」落到實處。
第六,大陸的政治軍事影響過去沒有直接進入台灣,這使得台獨勢力可以耀武揚威、有恃無恐。漸漸 地,隨著大陸 的綜合實力取得對台的壓倒性優勢和大陸的反介入能力不斷變得可靠,大陸應以多種方式對台灣事務 進行介入,大 力扶植台灣支持統一的力量。
第七,未來的台灣不能由民進黨和美國來塑造,而必須要由大陸來主導塑造。如果台獨繼續猖獗,就 應當把台灣變 成1948年底至1949年1月的北平,那樣的歷史可能性正在逐漸形成。
社評總結說,「北平是和平解放的,我們也希望台海和平永不中斷。但是這一切都只能以大陸展示武 力收復台灣, 和在美國軍事介入情況下與它硬碰硬的真實決心為基礎。和平不會屬於懦夫。」


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